Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.000039 0.000042 0.000046 0.000050 0.000055 0.000060 0.000066
2026-02-01 0.000032 0.000037 0.000042 0.000048 0.000055 0.000063 0.000073
2026-02-08 0.000028 0.000033 0.000039 0.000046 0.000054 0.000065 0.000078
2026-02-15 0.000026 0.000031 0.000037 0.000045 0.000055 0.000068 0.000084
2026-02-22 0.000023 0.000029 0.000035 0.000044 0.000055 0.000069 0.000088
2026-03-01 0.000021 0.000026 0.000033 0.000042 0.000053 0.000068 0.000090
2026-03-08 0.000019 0.000024 0.000031 0.000040 0.000052 0.000068 0.000091
2026-03-15 0.000018 0.000023 0.000029 0.000038 0.000051 0.000068 0.000094
2026-03-22 0.000016 0.000021 0.000028 0.000037 0.000050 0.000068 0.000095
2026-03-29 0.000015 0.000020 0.000027 0.000036 0.000050 0.000069 0.000098
2026-04-05 0.000015 0.000020 0.000027 0.000037 0.000052 0.000073 0.000106
2026-04-12 0.000015 0.000020 0.000027 0.000038 0.000054 0.000077 0.000115
2026-04-19 0.000016 0.000022 0.000031 0.000044 0.000065 0.000097 0.000150
2026-04-26 0.000015 0.000021 0.000029 0.000042 0.000063 0.000096 0.000153
2026-05-03 0.000014 0.000019 0.000028 0.000041 0.000062 0.000095 0.000155
2026-05-10 0.000013 0.000018 0.000027 0.000040 0.000062 0.000097 0.000162
2026-05-17 0.000012 0.000017 0.000026 0.000039 0.000061 0.000098 0.000166
2026-05-24 0.000011 0.000016 0.000024 0.000037 0.000059 0.000096 0.000166
2026-05-31 0.000010 0.000015 0.000023 0.000035 0.000057 0.000094 0.000166
2026-06-07 0.000010 0.000014 0.000022 0.000034 0.000056 0.000094 0.000169
2026-06-14 0.000009 0.000014 0.000021 0.000033 0.000055 0.000093 0.000170
2026-06-21 0.000009 0.000013 0.000020 0.000032 0.000054 0.000093 0.000174
2026-06-28 0.000008 0.000013 0.000020 0.000033 0.000056 0.000099 0.000189